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星期一 Sep 22 2025 11:10
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Prediction markets have experienced significant growth, transcending their election-focused applications to emerge as a dynamic field attracting investors and speculators alike. Following their resounding success in forecasting election outcomes, the spotlight is now on exploring broader horizons and amplifying trading volumes.
While elections provided a massive boost for markets like Polymarket (seeing a surge in trading volume from $62 million in May to $2.1 billion in October 2024), the challenge lies in sustaining this momentum. Post-election, volumes have stabilized at an impressive level exceeding $1 billion monthly, indicating sustained interest and growth potential.
Polymarket and Kalshi dominate the landscape, commanding approximately 90% of the funding. These leading platforms are now focused on increasing trading volumes and bolstering market resilience. However, with over 100 projects in the space, the question arises: how can investors identify the best opportunities?
The key to driving liquidity and trading volumes lies in attracting retail investors. To do so, prediction markets must focus on:
Some promising innovations in the space include:
Significant room for innovation remains in prediction markets. Concepts like basket trading, managed indexes, celebrity copy trading, and parlays can be explored to offer more diverse and engaging experiences.
Risk Warning and Disclaimer: This article represents only the author’s views and is for reference only. It does not constitute investment advice or financial guidance, nor does it represent the stance of the Markets.com platform. Trading Contracts for Difference (CFDs) involves high leverage and significant risks. Before making any trading decisions, we recommend consulting a professional financial advisor to assess your financial situation and risk tolerance. Any trading decisions based on this article are at your own risk.
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