週四原油價格走勢上漲，中國新刺激措施與美國庫存下降支撐市場

星期四 Dec 26 2024 05:28

Duration

2 最小

  1. 1. 中國新刺激措施支撐原油價格走勢

  2. 2. 美國原油庫存下降

  3. 3. 全球市場展望

  4. 4. 總結

oil-prices-rose-driven-by-china-stimulus-measures-and-decline-in-us-inventories

週四，原油價格在亞洲市場穩步上漲，受到中國新一輪刺激措施及美國原油庫存減少的支撐。


中國新刺激措施支撐原油價格走勢

在聖誕節假期後，中國宣佈了一系列新刺激措施，對原油價格走勢形成支持。根據路透社的報導，中國明年將發行創紀錄的3兆人民幣（約合4110億美元）特別國債，旨在加強財政刺激，支持經濟復甦。

此外，中國允許地方官員擴大關鍵政府債券的投資範圍，簡化批準流程，除非列入內閣公佈的限制名單，才能利用公款促進經濟增長。

中國作為全球最大的原油進口國，其經濟狀況對國際原油價格走勢具有重要影響。隨著中國經濟逐步恢復，對原油的需求將隨之增加，以支持工業、交通以及其他能源密集型活動，進而推高原油價格。然而，中國在後COVID-19時期仍面臨消費信心疲軟、出口需求減弱及房地產市場不景氣等挑戰，這也使得刺激政策顯得尤為重要。


美國原油庫存下降

美國方面，根據美國石油協會（API）的數據顯示，截至12月20日當週，美國原油庫存減少320萬桶。此外，汽油庫存增加390萬桶，而蒸餾油庫存（包括柴油與取暖油）則下降250萬桶。

這些數據出爐之際，市場即將迎來美國能源情報署（EIA）的最新報告預估，預計美國原油庫存可能下降約190萬桶，汽油庫存減少110萬桶，蒸餾油庫存減少30萬桶。

美國汽車協會（AAA）表示，由於冬季需求增加，預計未來幾週美國汽油價格將持續上漲。尤其是東北部和中西部地區，由於嚴寒天氣和取暖需求激增，對於油品的需求亦隨之上升。


全球市場展望

此外，根據國際能源機構（IEA）的報告，由於全球經濟復甦推動能源需求回升，未來幾個月原油市場可能面臨更大波動。在美國、歐洲及亞洲主要國家的刺激政策下，預計原油需求將會持續增加。

市場分析師指出，隨著疫後全球經濟逐步復甦，原油價格走勢有望進一步走高，特別是中國、新興市場以及發展中國家對能源需求的強勁拉動。然而，投資者需警惕隨時可能的供應瓶頸與地緣政治風險。


總結

隨著中國的新刺激措施及美國原油庫存下降，原油價格走勢在亞洲市場上持續上漲。此外，市場對於美國冬季需求上升的預期以及全球經濟復甦的推動，預示著原油價格走勢有望保持穩定增長。不過，隨著市場變數眾多，投資者仍需保持警覺，並及時調整交易策略以應對可能的市場波動。


在考慮股票、指數、外匯（外匯）和商品的交易及價格預測時，請記住，交易CFD涉及較高風險，可能導致資本損失。 過去的錶現不能作為未來結果的指示。此信息僅用於提供信息，不應被視為投資建議。

撰寫者:

Christine Voong

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  1. 1. 中國新刺激措施支撐原油價格走勢

  2. 2. 美國原油庫存下降

  3. 3. 全球市場展望

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