黃金價格走勢微幅上揚，美元強勢施壓，聯準會利率政策前景未明

星期二 Dec 24 2024 05:28

Duration

3 最小

  1. 1. 黃金價格走勢在亞洲交易中小幅上揚，美元強勢施壓

  2. 2. 聯準會政策前景壓制黃金價格走勢

  3. 3. 美元強勢對黃金及其他貴金屬造成壓力

  4. 4. 工業金屬表現疲弱，季節性因素影響

gold-prices-edge-higher-strong-dollar-pressures-fed-rate-outlook-uncertain

黃金價格走勢在亞洲交易中小幅上揚，美元強勢施壓

週二亞洲交易中，黃金價格走勢小幅上漲，美元走強對黃金價格走勢形成持續壓力，但投資人仍謹慎觀望美國聯準會政策動向。

現貨黃金價格微升0.2%，報每盎司2,617.22美元，2月交割的黃金期貨上漲0.1%，報每盎司2,631.89美元。截至美東時間21:46（台灣時間10:46）。儘管短期內黃金價格走勢小幅反彈，但整體表現依然疲弱，反映市場對於未來的黃金價格走勢仍然保持謹慎態度。


聯準會政策前景壓制黃金價格走勢

黃金價格走勢一度觸及一個月低點，原因在於聯準會的鷹派立場，暗示利率將長時間維持高位，導致黃金未能從近期的低點有效反彈。市場對於未來的聯準會利率政策預測仍持不確定態度，高利率政策對於黃金價格走勢形成顯著壓力，因為持有黃金的成本增加，投資者更傾向於選擇如債券等收益率更高的資產。

市場目前僅預計2025年可能會有兩次0.25%的降息，這比此前市場預期的四次降息大幅縮減，顯示美國經濟雖然韌性仍在，但通脹壓力未見明顯緩解，依然對黃金價格走勢形成壓力。


美元強勢對黃金及其他貴金屬造成壓力

聯準會的鷹派政策使美元持續走強，提升美元的國際吸引力，導致以美元計價的黃金價格更為昂貴。此外，美元強勢使得以其他貨幣計價的黃金交易更加不利，抑制了國際需求。

美元指數於週二亞洲交易時段上漲0.1%，接近上週創下的兩年新高。美元的強勢對於黃金價格形成較大的壓力，因為黃金價格對於使用其他貨幣的買家來說更加昂貴。

其他貴金屬表現相對平淡，鉑金期貨上漲0.1%，報每盎司951.90美元，白銀期貨上漲0.2%，報每盎司30.062美元，顯示市場對於貴金屬的需求尚未有明顯起色。


工業金屬表現疲弱，季節性因素影響

工業金屬方面，銅價因美元強勢以及季節因素影響，整體表現相對疲弱。分析師指出，隨著年底企業活動減少，銅需求減弱，導致價格波動有限。

倫敦金屬交易所基準銅期貨價格持平，報每公噸8,940.50美元，1個月期銅期貨價格也穩定於每磅4.0905美元。總結來看，在美元強勢及聯準會鷹派政策持續影響下，黃金和其他貴金屬的短期前景仍面臨挑戰，市場需持續觀察政策變化與經濟數據。


在考慮股票、指數、外匯（外匯）和商品的交易及價格預測時，請記住，交易CFD涉及較高風險，可能導致資本損失。 過去的錶現不能作為未來結果的指示。此信息僅用於提供信息，不應被視為投資建議。

撰寫者:

Christine Voong

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  1. 1. 黃金價格走勢在亞洲交易中小幅上揚，美元強勢施壓

  2. 2. 聯準會政策前景壓制黃金價格走勢

  3. 3. 美元強勢對黃金及其他貴金屬造成壓力

  4. 4. 工業金屬表現疲弱，季節性因素影響

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