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US Prepares to Renegotiate USMCA: What's at Stake for North American Trade?

토요일 Sep 6 2025 00:00

2 분

table_contents

1. US Sets Stage for USMCA Renegotiation
1.1 Timeline for Renegotiation
1.2 Historical Context and Significance of USMCA
1.3 Potential Tariffs and Trade Tensions
1.4 Potential Challenges and Opportunities

US Sets Stage for USMCA Renegotiation

The United States is preparing to initiate the renegotiation of the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), a move that could reshape the North American trade landscape. According to a report in *The Wall Street Journal*, the U.S. Trade Representative's office will launch public consultations regarding the renegotiation of the agreement. This action stems from the mandatory six-year review clause included in the law under which the agreement was implemented in 2020. The consultation process is expected to begin imminently, with requests for comments from businesses and labor unions potentially being issued as early as this week.

Timeline for Renegotiation

After the request for comments is published, the U.S. government will be required to hold at least one public hearing. Then, by January 2026, a briefing to Congress on the agreement must be delivered. The first official review meeting between the U.S., Mexico, and Canada must be held by July 1, 2026.

Historical Context and Significance of USMCA

The USMCA was touted as a core trade achievement of President Trump's first term. The agreement replaced the 1992 North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), which Trump criticized during his campaign for causing job losses and factory flight to other countries, especially Mexico.

Potential Tariffs and Trade Tensions

During his second term, Trump raised concerns about the future of USMCA. He threatened tariffs on Canada and Mexico over drug smuggling issues and even implemented partial cuts. Furthermore, members of Congress are pressuring the U.S. government to increase domestic component content in a variety of goods, especially automobiles.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities

While USMCA covers a significant portion of trade between the three countries, tariffs and other trade restrictions loom as a threat. Mexico also faces criticism over energy policies favoring state-owned enterprises, a lack of fair competition in the telecom sector, restrictions on imports of U.S. corn and cotton, and insufficient copyright protection. However, Mexican officials have emphasized that they and the U.S. need each other to remain competitive. The USMCA renegotiation presents an opportunity to address these issues and strengthen regional trade. The outcome of these negotiations will shape the future of trade relations between the U.S., Mexico, and Canada for years to come. Businesses operating in North America should closely monitor these developments and adapt to the evolving trade landscape.

Risk Warning and Disclaimer: This article represents only the author’s views and is for reference only. It does not constitute investment advice or financial guidance, nor does it represent the stance of the Markets.com platform. Trading Contracts for Difference (CFDs) involves high leverage and significant risks. Before making any trading decisions, we recommend consulting a professional financial advisor to assess your financial situation and risk tolerance. Any trading decisions based on this article are at your own risk.